Bank of England set to raise interest rates for 12th time in a row

UK interest rates are anticipated to rise additional this week as inflation stays stubbornly excessive, economists have stated.

Experts and the monetary markets extensively anticipate the bottom price to rise from 4.25% to 4.5% on Thursday, representing a 0.25 proportion level improve.

It could be the 12th time in a row that policymakers on the Bank have raised rates, making it much more costly to borrow and pushing banks to raise financial savings rates.

It would additionally mark the best stage since 2008.

It comes as UK Consumer Prices Index (CPI) inflation remained firmly in double digits in March, squeezing family budgets and proving extra cussed than anticipated.

The Bank’s purpose in elevating interest rates is to carry UK inflation down to its 2% goal.

But consultants will probably be watching the Bank’s Monetary Policy Report carefully on Thursday for its financial forecasts, and a sign on what the longer term holds for inflation and rates.

In February, when the final report was produced, the Bank stated it expects inflation to fall sharply over the remainder of the 12 months.

But with CPI remaining above double-digits since then, the newest report will probably be watched carefully for indicators this forecast has modified.

Furthermore, consultants stated the Bank’s policymakers might give extra of a sign over what the longer term holds for rates.

Ellie Henderson, from Investec Economics, stated the “clock is ticking” on the Bank’s financial coverage tightening cycle, and a rise on Thursday may very well be the final.

She stated: “As things stand and considering the sharp downward influences on inflation in the coming months, namely from energy but also from cooling food and goods price inflation, we suspect that this could be the last hike by the Bank of England in this cycle.”

However, there’s nonetheless a “high chance” the Bank will resolve to raise rates by 0.25 proportion factors once more in June, particularly if inflation stays stubbornly above goal, she added.

“What is clear is that the days of successive interest rate hikes in this economic cycle are limited, but the exact endpoint is clouded with uncertainties.”

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In the final Monetary Policy Report, in February, the Bank’s Governor Andrew Bailey stated UK inflation is anticipated to come down sharply this 12 months (Leon Neal/ PA)

Klaus Baader, the worldwide chief economist at French financial institution Societe Generale, agreed that whereas a 0.25 proportion level is anticipated from the Bank, “what is less certain is what it will do afterwards”.

He stated it’s probably policymakers will now not predict a recession, having beforehand anticipated the UK would dip into a quick and shallow recession in the course of the first quarter of the 12 months.

The end result will assist economists decide whether or not interest rates will rise above 4.5% this 12 months.

New quarterly gross home product (GDP) figures will probably be launched on Friday, which is anticipated to present the UK financial system grew over the primary three months of the 12 months.

Meanwhile, the US’s Federal Reserve determined final week to raise interest rates by 0.25 proportion factors, however hinted it may very well be the final hike earlier than rates begin to come again down.

Whereas the European Central Bank (ECB) additionally opted for a 0.25 proportion level improve however left the door open for additional will increase, with president Christine Lagarde saying “the inflation outlook continues to be too high for too long”.


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